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Trade Low Risk and Deep Value

Investment Technique

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Curriculum Content

Your investments are your most important purchases. Properly selected, investments deliver wealth as opposed to reducing it over time, raising your living standard and securing you against adverse events. You should acquire a good deal on investments, just like on merchandise and consumables. The only way to receive a good deal on investments is to buy investments that are likely to provide a great return at relatively low risk, at a price lower than their actual value. By buying investments when the market value is lower than the intrinsic value you reduce your chance of further loss. This helps increase the probability of buying at low risk levels. You also increase the chance that the market price of shares you are purchasing will rise in the future to match their intrinsic value.

Valuation Based Investing

Valuation based choices mean not investing in every stock, not taking every chance, and frequently missing stocks that run at unexpected profits. But it also results in far lower chances of portfolio blow-ups over the long term, and this is a wise trade. It’s perfectly fine for you to strategically miss potential profit to avoid potential loss. Many value investors add margins of safety to avoid buying stocks too close to intrinsic value. By lowering the price ranges at which they can buy and only buying solid firms, they reduce the chance of blowups. The riskier the firm is, the lower the price at which they will tolerate buying a firm’s equity. This procedure increases the size of the safety net that the investor has, and decreases the chances investments in a solid long-term firm will result in blowups. This tactic also assists them in keeping capital safe. These strategies should always be employed by you as well.

Valuation and Price/Earnings

The price/earnings ratio of a stock over the last decade can assist you in charting pricing. If the ratio is higher now than previously, it’s possible you are paying towards the higher end of the stock’s price range. This is only a guide, not final measure! You should still calculate an actual intrinsic value of the equity to have an absolute value to compare with market price. The price/earnings ratio is only a relative measure.

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International Economic Analysis:

  • Major Currency Economic Summaries
  • Performance of Major Imports and Exports
  • Mandates of Central Banks versus Expectations
  • Performance Indexes of Major Economies
  • Economically Correlated Currency Projections
  • Large Funds Currency Sentiment Readings
  • List of Technical Indicators to Look For
  • Occasional: Foregin Exchange Technicals Markups

American Markets Analysis:

  • Summaries of American Economic Structure
  • Performance of Major
  • Imports/Exports
  • Federal Reserve Mandate versus Expectations
  • Performance Indexes of U.S Economy
  • Economically Correlated U.S Dollar Projections
  • Large Trading Fund Index Sentiment Readings
  • Market Wide Earnings Versus Valuations
  • Fundamental Ranking of U.S Business Sectors
  • Best and Worst Future Consensus Estimates
  • Occasional: Firm Fundamental Strength Report
  • List of Technicals to Look for While Trading

WealthCE FX + Equity Analysis

Major 8 Economic Summaries
Economic Performance Index
Currency Market Sentiment
Equity Index Market Sentiment
Sector Strength Tracking
Equity EPS/PEG Estimates
Fundamental Firm Analysis
Trend Following Trading Plans

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