Standard Deviation of ReturnsRisk Management
A Return Distribution count the amount of occurrences within a series of returns at different intervals over a period of time. For investment returns, it counts the amount of returns split into percentage ranges. It creates a graphical representation, organized by stacking columns. More height equates to more occurrences in each column. The higher the amount of occurrences within a probability range, the higher that part of the visual distribution. This creates a probability distribution, or how likely a certain event is going to occur based on historical data. When assessing risk, you should prefer more columns are in positive return distributions and higher than the negative return distributions, since the negative distributions are your historical risk of loss. You especially want the total average return to be in positive territory.
You’ll get different distribution results when measuring different periods of time. The measured period may have a distribution with mostly positive results and a positive mean even though the all-time mean is negative and the distribution shows a high chance of loss. This indicates something may have changed recently worth investigation. Always test multiple time periods with each statistic. Test the last 6 months, year, 3 years, and all time.
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International Economic Analysis:
- Major Currency Economic Summaries
- Performance of Major Imports and Exports
- Mandates of Central Banks versus Expectations
- Performance Indexes of Major Economies
- Economically Correlated Currency Projections
- Large Funds Currency Sentiment Readings
- List of Technical Indicators to Look For
- Occasional: Foregin Exchange Technicals Markups
American Markets Analysis:
- Summaries of American Economic Structure
- Performance of Major
- Federal Reserve Mandate versus Expectations
- Performance Indexes of U.S Economy
- Economically Correlated U.S Dollar Projections
- Large Trading Fund Index Sentiment Readings
- Market Wide Earnings Versus Valuations
- Fundamental Ranking of U.S Business Sectors
- Best and Worst Future Consensus Estimates
- Occasional: Firm Fundamental Strength Report
- List of Technicals to Look for While Trading
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